Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.721605 2.147452 2.705403 3.513948 4.699632 6.454164e+00 9.422771
2025-02-02 1.221188 1.697268 2.432789 3.745834 6.286432 1.175370e+01 28.014771
2025-02-09 0.932389 1.381694 2.150456 3.731550 7.515986 1.900044e+01 88.766460
2025-02-16 0.744893 1.150102 1.891670 3.576018 8.325133 2.799817e+01 346.979234
2025-02-23 0.643848 1.031942 1.788130 3.681077 10.035325 4.906946e+01 11554.647189
2025-03-02 0.577456 0.957060 1.740408 3.893513 12.573844 1.019939e+02 NaN
2025-03-09 0.514206 0.872760 1.644053 3.918919 14.574524 2.045203e+02 NaN
2025-03-16 0.452925 0.780155 1.502624 3.732684 15.312156 3.495377e+02 NaN
2025-03-23 0.421846 0.743307 1.482464 3.937258 19.160055 1.500094e+03 NaN
2025-03-30 0.388784 0.696320 1.424685 3.980508 22.295062 1.241813e+04 NaN
2025-04-06 0.354899 0.642335 1.336293 3.862063 23.905653 1.524226e+06 NaN
2025-04-13 0.327117 0.598018 1.264255 3.777613 25.936054 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.316836 0.592189 1.297903 4.188990 37.405841 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.303007 0.576206 1.299653 4.471207 51.094757 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.283606 0.544397 1.247470 4.449656 59.300911 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.262779 0.506747 1.170311 4.250900 61.471450 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.250798 0.489229 1.152281 4.384382 79.341252 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.242215 0.478980 1.155167 4.655700 115.364299 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.230456 0.459371 1.123454 4.688241 143.928136 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.215799 0.430966 1.057495 4.450116 144.310240 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.209515 0.423393 1.060966 4.711748 225.143459 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.200938 0.408968 1.038015 4.767235 301.265602 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.190574 0.388926 0.991987 4.615421 328.151930 NaN NaN